GC
Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. (GROV)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $43.5M, down 18.7% YoY and impacted by the early-March eCommerce platform migration, which management estimates reduced revenue by $2–$3M; gross margin fell 260 bps to 53.0% and adjusted EBITDA was -$1.6M (−3.7%) .
- Guidance was revised: FY2025 revenue now expected to decline approximately mid-single-digit to low double-digit percentage points YoY (prior: approximately flat to down mid-single digits), and FY2025 adjusted EBITDA now expected to be negative low single-digit to positive low single-digit millions (prior: breakeven to positive low single-digit) .
- Q1 was framed as the “revenue trough”; management guides to slight YoY revenue growth in Q4 2025, supported by improving new-customer metrics, broader assortment, and platform stabilization .
- Liquidity/credit update: an amendment to the asset-based loan facility extended maturity to April 2028 and removed the minimum liquidity covenant, increasing availability; the company ended Q1 with $13.5M in cash and restricted cash and negative operating cash flow of $6.9M .
- Post-quarter, Grove received a NYSE notice of non-compliance with continued listing standards (market cap and stockholders’ equity thresholds), requiring a cure plan within 45 days; the notice has no immediate impact on listing status .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Improved new-customer acquisition efficiency and first-order economics allowed Grove to responsibly increase advertising spend despite migration headwinds; ad spend was $2.8M (+$0.8M YoY) and marketing was 6.4% of sales in Q1, with management seeing “better returns than we have in years” .
- Assortment expansion continues: third-party brands offered grew 41% YoY and products 54% YoY, with additions such as Billie, Cocofloss, Hydro Flask, Solaray, The Neighborgoods, and The Unscented Company; management expects expanded assortment in clean beauty, personal care, kitchen/pantry, baby, and wellness to lift net revenue per order and frequency .
- Balance sheet steps: ABL amendment extended maturity to April 2028 and increased availability; inventory rose to $22.1M primarily from acquiring Grab Green and 8Greens, advancing strategic category exposure (home cleaning, wellness) .
What Went Wrong
- The eCommerce platform migration negatively affected order conversion and volume; management estimates a $2–$3M revenue headwind in Q1 and incorporated ongoing attrition effects into revised FY2025 guidance .
- Top-line pressure from prior years’ reduced advertising spend led to fewer repeat orders and a smaller active customer base; total orders fell 20% YoY to 622k and active customers declined 16% YoY to 678k .
- Gross margin compressed 260 bps YoY to 53.0%, reflecting removal of certain customer fees and smaller benefit from sell-through of previously reserved inventory; adjusted EBITDA deteriorated to -$1.6M vs. +$1.9M in Q1 2024 .
Financial Results
Values with an asterisk (*) were retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs (YoY):
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We estimate the migration resulted in a $2 million to $3 million revenue impact in Q1… We are actively implementing win-back strategies to reengage affected customers and rebuild trust due to the outages.” — CEO Jeff Yurcisin .
- “Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was a negative $1.6 million or a margin of negative 3.7%... We remain committed to strengthening our underlying cost structure and driving operating efficiencies.” — CEO Jeff Yurcisin .
- “We amended our asset-based loan facility, extending its maturity to April 2028… removing the minimum liquidity covenant.” — Interim CFO Tom Siragusa .
- “Q1 was our revenue trough and we are guiding towards year-over-year growth in Q4. We're seeing green shoots across the business and know that our transformation is working.” — CEO Jeff Yurcisin .
- “This quarter, we were at 6.4% [advertising as % of sales]… we are seeing better returns than we have in years on new customer acquisition.” — CEO Jeff Yurcisin (Q&A) .
Q&A Highlights
- Marketing intensity and returns: Advertising was 6.4% of sales in Q1; management aims to increase investment given improved returns on new customer acquisition (landing pages, dynamic offers) .
- Platform transition timing/impact: Critical issues largely resolved; impacts embedded in revised revenue guidance; progress improving week-over-week .
- Mix shift to third-party: Own brands are decreasing as a % of revenue; margin gap vs third-party has narrowed, supporting margin stability at contribution level despite mix shift .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs consensus: Revenue $43.547M vs $47.010M estimate (−7.4% miss); Primary EPS −$0.0516 vs −$0.03 estimate (miss) — migration disruption and smaller repeat order base drove the shortfall *.
- Q4 2024 vs consensus: Revenue $49.501M vs $48.791M (beat); Primary EPS −$0.2102 vs −$0.15 (miss) — sequential revenue stabilization, but promotions and cohort dynamics weighed on EPS *.
- Q1 2024 vs consensus: Revenue $53.545M vs $53.400M (slight beat); Primary EPS actual −$0.1827 *.
Values retrieved from S&P Global (*). Consensus coverage is thin (1–2 estimates per metric), which increases variability and reduces signal strength for surprise analysis.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
(See table above for detailed evolution across Q3 2024, Q4 2024, and Q1 2025.)
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term headwinds from the platform migration — quantified at $2–$3M in Q1 and baked into revised FY guide — should diminish as fixes and win-back efforts take hold; monitor order conversion and repeat order recovery in Q2/Q3 .
- The mix shift toward third-party brands, while reducing own-brand revenue share, is less margin-dilutive than historically; assortment breadth is a lever for AOV/order frequency stabilization .
- Advertising ROI is improving (6.4% of sales, scaled prudently); management intends to lean into high-return channels (CTV, influencer) — watch for sequential demand normalization and CAC/COH trends .
- Gross margin pressure (−260 bps YoY) reflects fee changes and inventory effects; tariff mitigation (pricing, supplier renegotiations, sourcing diversification) is ongoing, but residual risk remains .
- Liquidity/covenant flexibility improved via ABL amendment; however, the NYSE non-compliance notice introduces capital markets risk and potential overhang until a cure plan is accepted and progress observed .
- Q4 2025 is guided to slight YoY growth despite tempered expectations; if Q2/Q3 sequential improvement materializes, this could be a narrative inflection into year-end, contingent on platform stabilization and cohort behavior .
- Strategic acquisitions (Grab Green, 8Greens) broaden core categories (home cleaning, wellness) and can support gross margin and engagement; integration and working-capital impacts should be monitored .